The current situation, which began to take shape at the end of February 2022, has made serious changes in the dynamics of the development of the office segment. The market encountered a refusal on planned premises lease/purchase transactions, the shutdown of a significant part of the projects at the initial stage and, in some cases, the cancellation of projects under construction. The crisis also created tangible difficulties for fit-out contractors, who had to quickly cope with the rupture of supply chains, the ban on the sale of materials and equipment to Russian customers, a shortage of parts, which, in turn, affected the increase in cost and the increase in the timing of project execution.
However, from the side of the business there is still a demand for high-quality IT equipment. Right now, a natural watershed is being formed on the market, on the one hand of which are large-scale projects initiated by systemically important companies (often with state participation) with significant financial resources, and on the other hand, offices from 1 thousand to 10 thousand sq.m., projects of which are initiated by smaller companies.
The first type of customers is hooked to impressive, but often outdated assets that they own. Interest in the development of their office clusters is primarily associated with attracting and retaining staff — the lack of modern infrastructure significantly weakens the positions on this issue. As a rule, in such corporations, long-term strategies for the development of their commercial real estate are being developed, for the needs of which a separate budget is formed, designed for several years.
At the same time, customers considering offices with an area of 1 thousand to 10 thousand sq.m., are more affected by the current instability and in the face of a shortage of finishing materials and equipment can reorient to the ready-made market instead of implementing their own projects. This is largely responsible for the fact that demand will be redistributed in favor of service offices, which should give them an impetus to further improve their own process engineering solutions — after all, it is often service offices that are drivers of digital development in this segment.
Thus, in the medium term, large corporations and network office operators will become the main initiators of the construction of new projects, creating a significant amount of demand for high-quality, and, importantly, high-tech fit-out.